Today's game plan Updated 3:22 PM ET

Last updated: Tue Oct 13, 2026 · 3:22 PM ET

3 PM Game Plan
$SPX $SPY $ES SPX dipped to 7799 at 2:49, held just above the 2 PM breakdown trigger, then ran to 7811 at 3:15 and sits at 7809 now. Gamma is still positive, with the 7815 call wall overhead and the 7805 put wall just below, and 7805 is still the biggest gamma strike, so price is boxed between 7805 and 7815. The live straddle prices only about 6 points for the last 38 minutes, which puts the expected move at 7803 to 7815. We've used 28 of the 54-point average daily range, but with this little time left a full 26-point run is unlikely. Neither 2 PM trigger fired, since the low held at 7799 and the high stopped at 7811, short of 7813. For a breakout, a 5-minute close above 7815 clears the EM high and the call wall and targets 7820, then 7825, and it's wrong back under 7810. For a breakdown, a 5-minute close below 7803 loses the EM low and the 7805 put wall and targets 7799, then 7795, and you're out on a 5-minute close back above 7807. The base case is chop between 7805 and 7815 into the close, so keep size small and take profits fast because 0DTE decay is at its fastest now. Breadth has improved to 282 up and 216 down, call and put volume are even at 1.00, and the bias is neutral to slightly up while price holds above 7805.

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